Football Intelligence Score ranking
Ranked highest to lowest. FIS measures contextual evidence, not win probability.
| # | Selection | Fixture | FIS | Opp. | Delta | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emley AFC | Emley AFC v Bishop Auckland | 67.50 | 52.00 | +15.50 | Emley win |
| 2 | Ascot United | Ascot United v Pagham | 65.75 | 49.50 | +16.25 | Ascot United win |
| 3 | Southall | Southall v Cobham | 63.25 | 56.00 | +7.25 | Southall draw no bet / lean home |
| 4 | Stourbridge | Stourbridge v Rushall Olympic | 59.75 | 58.50 | +1.25 | Stourbridge or draw (1X) |
Top profile: Emley AFC. Largest differential: Ascot United. Caution: Stourbridge v Rushall is effectively neutral.
#1 Emley AFC v Bishop Auckland FIS 67.50
Context case: Very strong home-market signal and home setting outweigh Bishop Auckland’s sharper recent sequence.
Main challenge: Bishop Auckland’s recent defensive form and three wins in the last five make the short home price vulnerable.
Screenshot odds: 1.34 / 5.60 / 8.60#2 Ascot United v Pagham FIS 65.75
Context case: Ascot combine home advantage with a stronger current form profile; Pagham arrive after a poor recent run.
Main challenge: Non-league lineup information is limited and cup ties can amplify variance.
No reliable three-way price captured#3 Southall v Cobham FIS 63.25
Context case: Small home and recent-form edge in an otherwise fairly balanced contest.
Main challenge: Cobham’s profile is close enough that the context differential is not decisive.
No reliable three-way price captured#4 Stourbridge v Rushall Olympic FIS 59.75
Context case: Home advantage and Rushall’s officially documented Sunday logistical inconvenience create only a narrow lean.
Main challenge: Rushall have the slightly stronger recent form reading and the differential is essentially neutral.
Screenshot odds: 2.10 / 3.90 / 3.25Overall conclusion
Emley AFC and Ascot United are the clearest contextual priorities. Southall is a narrower home lean. Stourbridge v Rushall supports a protected 1X view or abstention.
Method
Strategy 5 weights: stakes 18%, availability 22%, recovery/travel 15%, tactical fit 15%, club environment 10%, information integrity 10%, and market intelligence 10%. Unverified availability was scored neutral.
Sources
- Fixture confirmation - Emley v Bishop Auckland: https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/match/2026-2027/fa-cup/emley-afc/bishop-auckland/591929
- Rushall official scheduling statement: https://rofc.co.uk/news/club-statement-emirates-fa-cup-tie-scheduling
- Ascot official match preview: https://ascotunited.net/ascot-look-to-advance-in-fa-cup-matchday-programme/
- Southall v Cobham fixture confirmation: https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/match/2026-2027/fa-cup/southall/cobham/591346
- Emley/Bishop recent-form reference: https://thedatabetics.com/football-predictions/england-fa-cup/afc-emley-vs-bishop-auckland-5-september-2026/
- Stourbridge/Rushall form reference: https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fa-cup/stourbridge-vs-rushall-olympic_game_257248.html
- User-provided FootyStats fixture and odds screenshot: Provided 6 September 2026
Responsible use: Research only. Predictions are provisional and lineups were not confirmed at preparation time.