PREMIER BETTING TIPS · SCOTTISH FOOTBALL
Scottish Football — FIS Analysis & Accumulator Research
Saturday 17 October 2026 · All 19 SPFL fixtures · UK times (BST)
UPDATED 17 OCTOBER 2026 · PRE-MATCH RESEARCHThe strongest descriptive goals signals come from League Two
Kelty Hearts–Forfar and Spartans–Stranraer both have a supplied over-1.5 indicator of 100%; Elgin–Edinburgh City is 90%. These are historical statistical indicators, not calibrated chances of winning. Seven provisional accumulator structures are provided for paper tracking. No ticket passes the full Strategy 5 v2.0 execution checks in this report.
All 19 fixtures and kickoff times match the official SPFL schedule. FootyStats date coverage: 113 subscribed-league fixtures, one of one pages; the 19 fixtures in the four Scottish divisions are included here. No English fixtures or Sunday’s Celtic–Hearts match are included.
Match board · descriptive research order
Sorted by the supplied indicator for each goals proposition, descending; ties alphabetical. Double-chance rows follow because comparable outcome probabilities are unavailable. This is not a confidence ranking and comparisons across markets are limited. Every FIS/PCS cell remains explicitly unscored.
| Fixture / BST | Division | Research selection | Indicator¹ | FIS H / A | PCS / confidence | Market Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts v Forfar Athletic 15:00 | League Two | Over 1.5 goals | 100% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Spartans v Stranraer 15:00 | League Two | Over 1.5 goals | 100% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Elgin City v Edinburgh City 15:00 | League Two | Over 1.5 goals | 90% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Dunfermline Athletic v Livingston 15:00 | Championship | Under 2.5 goals | 88% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Kilmarnock v Motherwell 15:00 | Premiership | First half over 0.5 goals | 88% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Aberdeen v St. Mirren 15:00 | Premiership | Under 3.5 goals | 82% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Hibernian v Falkirk 15:00 | Premiership | Over 1.5 goals | 82% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Dumbarton v Stirling Albion 15:00 | League Two | Over 2.5 goals | 80% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| East Kilbride v Montrose 15:00 | League One | Over 1.5 goals | 80% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| St. Johnstone v Dundee United 15:00 | Premiership | Over 1.5 goals | 76% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| East Fife v Alloa Athletic 15:00 | League One | Over 1.5 goals | 70% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Inverness CT v Arbroath 15:00 | Championship | Under 2.5 goals | 70% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Peterhead v Cove Rangers 15:00 | League One | Over 1.5 goals | 70% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Stenhousemuir v Raith Rovers 15:00 | Championship | Under 2.5 goals | 68% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Airdrieonians v Hamilton Academical 17:30 | League One | Under 2.5 goals | 65% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Greenock Morton v Queen's Park 15:00 | Championship | Under 2.5 goals | 60% | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Clyde v Annan Athletic 15:00 | League Two | Clyde or draw (1X) | Unavailable | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Dundee v Rangers 20:00 | Premiership | Rangers or draw (X2) | Unavailable | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
| Queen of the South v Ross County 15:00 | League One | Ross County or draw (X2) | Unavailable | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored / unavailable | PENDING |
¹ FootyStats potential field, reproduced as supplied. Its exact denominator is not provided in the match endpoint; the venue and recent-result samples below are separately calculated and are not assumed to be that denominator.
Accumulator candidates · provisional paper tests
The requested “best” 3-, 4- and 5-fold formats are shown as research structures rather than qualified betting recommendations. FIS/PCS, model probability, bookmaker identity, quote time and price validation remain incomplete. More legs add failure points. None is described as safe.
Feed odds below are values retrieved from FootyStats. They are not verified executable bookmaker quotes. Combined decimal odds and £5/£10/£20 returns are withheld accordingly. Potential indicators are not multiplied to create probabilities.
3-fold core watchlist
| Fixture | Exact selection | FIS H / A | PCS | Indicator¹ | Feed odds² | Verified bookmaker odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts v Forfar Athletic | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 100% | 1.21 | Unavailable |
| Spartans v Stranraer | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 100% | 1.15 | Unavailable |
| Elgin City v Edinburgh City | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 90% | 1.13 | Unavailable |
Combined odds: unavailable. Combined probability: unavailable. Returns at £5 / £10 / £20: unavailable.
Risk: high uncertainty until model, lineup and price checks pass. Each match appears only once within this ticket. Multiplying true leg probabilities would require an independence approximation; cross-match weather, competition effects and shared model errors may create dependence. The 4- and 5-fold structures overlap the core. The BTTS and first-half tickets also reuse matches; losses across these tickets can cluster.
Tracking: pending · winning / losing / void legs: not yet known · actual return: not applicable; no placed bet confirmed.
4-fold watchlist
| Fixture | Exact selection | FIS H / A | PCS | Indicator¹ | Feed odds² | Verified bookmaker odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts v Forfar Athletic | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 100% | 1.21 | Unavailable |
| Spartans v Stranraer | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 100% | 1.15 | Unavailable |
| Elgin City v Edinburgh City | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 90% | 1.13 | Unavailable |
| East Kilbride v Montrose | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 80% | 1.14 | Unavailable |
Combined odds: unavailable. Combined probability: unavailable. Returns at £5 / £10 / £20: unavailable.
Risk: high uncertainty until model, lineup and price checks pass. Each match appears only once within this ticket. Multiplying true leg probabilities would require an independence approximation; cross-match weather, competition effects and shared model errors may create dependence. The 4- and 5-fold structures overlap the core. The BTTS and first-half tickets also reuse matches; losses across these tickets can cluster.
Tracking: pending · winning / losing / void legs: not yet known · actual return: not applicable; no placed bet confirmed.
5-fold watchlist
| Fixture | Exact selection | FIS H / A | PCS | Indicator¹ | Feed odds² | Verified bookmaker odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts v Forfar Athletic | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 100% | 1.21 | Unavailable |
| Spartans v Stranraer | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 100% | 1.15 | Unavailable |
| Elgin City v Edinburgh City | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 90% | 1.13 | Unavailable |
| East Kilbride v Montrose | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 80% | 1.14 | Unavailable |
| Hibernian v Falkirk | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 82% | 1.20 | Unavailable |
Combined odds: unavailable. Combined probability: unavailable. Returns at £5 / £10 / £20: unavailable.
Risk: high uncertainty until model, lineup and price checks pass. Each match appears only once within this ticket. Multiplying true leg probabilities would require an independence approximation; cross-match weather, competition effects and shared model errors may create dependence. The 4- and 5-fold structures overlap the core. The BTTS and first-half tickets also reuse matches; losses across these tickets can cluster.
Tracking: pending · winning / losing / void legs: not yet known · actual return: not applicable; no placed bet confirmed.
Conservative market watchlist
| Fixture | Exact selection | FIS H / A | PCS | Indicator¹ | Feed odds² | Verified bookmaker odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts v Forfar Athletic | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 100% | 1.21 | Unavailable |
| Spartans v Stranraer | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 100% | 1.15 | Unavailable |
| Elgin City v Edinburgh City | Over 1.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 90% | 1.13 | Unavailable |
Combined odds: unavailable. Combined probability: unavailable. Returns at £5 / £10 / £20: unavailable.
Risk: high uncertainty until model, lineup and price checks pass. Each match appears only once within this ticket. Multiplying true leg probabilities would require an independence approximation; cross-match weather, competition effects and shared model errors may create dependence. This is the same three-leg structure as the core watchlist; it is an alternative presentation, not an additional independent ticket.
Tracking: pending · winning / losing / void legs: not yet known · actual return: not applicable; no placed bet confirmed.
BTTS watchlist
| Fixture | Exact selection | FIS H / A | PCS | Indicator¹ | Feed odds² | Verified bookmaker odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts v Forfar Athletic | Both teams to score — Yes | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 90% | 1.64 | Unavailable |
| Spartans v Stranraer | Both teams to score — Yes | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 80% | 1.47 | Unavailable |
| Hibernian v Falkirk | Both teams to score — Yes | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 75% | 1.67 | Unavailable |
Combined odds: unavailable. Combined probability: unavailable. Returns at £5 / £10 / £20: unavailable.
Risk: high uncertainty until model, lineup and price checks pass. Each match appears only once within this ticket. Multiplying true leg probabilities would require an independence approximation; cross-match weather, competition effects and shared model errors may create dependence. The 4- and 5-fold structures overlap the core. The BTTS and first-half tickets also reuse matches; losses across these tickets can cluster.
Tracking: pending · winning / losing / void legs: not yet known · actual return: not applicable; no placed bet confirmed.
Over 2.5 goals watchlist
| Fixture | Exact selection | FIS H / A | PCS | Indicator¹ | Feed odds² | Verified bookmaker odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartans v Stranraer | Over 2.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 90% | 1.57 | Unavailable |
| Dumbarton v Stirling Albion | Over 2.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 80% | 1.51 | Unavailable |
| East Kilbride v Montrose | Over 2.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 80% | 1.54 | Unavailable |
Combined odds: unavailable. Combined probability: unavailable. Returns at £5 / £10 / £20: unavailable.
Risk: high uncertainty until model, lineup and price checks pass. Each match appears only once within this ticket. Multiplying true leg probabilities would require an independence approximation; cross-match weather, competition effects and shared model errors may create dependence. The 4- and 5-fold structures overlap the core. The BTTS and first-half tickets also reuse matches; losses across these tickets can cluster.
Tracking: pending · winning / losing / void legs: not yet known · actual return: not applicable; no placed bet confirmed.
First-half goals watchlist
| Fixture | Exact selection | FIS H / A | PCS | Indicator¹ | Feed odds² | Verified bookmaker odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartans v Stranraer | First half over 0.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 100% | 1.26 | Unavailable |
| Kelty Hearts v Forfar Athletic | First half over 0.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 90% | 1.32 | Unavailable |
| Elgin City v Edinburgh City | First half over 0.5 goals | Unscored / Unscored | Unscored | 90% | 1.25 | Unavailable |
Combined odds: unavailable. Combined probability: unavailable. Returns at £5 / £10 / £20: unavailable.
Risk: high uncertainty until model, lineup and price checks pass. Each match appears only once within this ticket. Multiplying true leg probabilities would require an independence approximation; cross-match weather, competition effects and shared model errors may create dependence. The 4- and 5-fold structures overlap the core. The BTTS and first-half tickets also reuse matches; losses across these tickets can cluster.
Tracking: pending · winning / losing / void legs: not yet known · actual return: not applicable; no placed bet confirmed.
Value accumulator · withheld
No selection qualifies for a verified value ticket. An independently estimated market probability and a current, named bookmaker quote with matching settlement terms are missing. Feed odds or historical frequencies alone cannot establish a positive edge.
² FootyStats snapshot values only. Bookmaker, quote timestamp, selection availability, limits and settlement terms were not supplied. Zero or missing odds are unavailable, never decimal 0.00.
Detailed match intelligence
Season league results available before the FootyStats snapshot underpin venue and recent form. Recent form runs oldest to newest and includes the last five completed league matches. PPG means points per game. Goals figures below are scored–conceded totals within the stated sample.
League Two · 15:00 BST
Kelty Hearts v Forfar Athletic
Research direction: Over 1.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 4 | 5 |
| PPG | 2.25 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 9–7 | 4–12 |
| Last five overall | WLLWL | LLWLL |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 100% | 80% | 90% | 90% | 2.38 |
Evidence and risk: Over 1.5 is supported more broadly than choosing a winner. The 100% indicator is a historical signal, not certainty; total supplied xG is only 2.38.
Home team recent league results
- 05 Sep Kelty Hearts 2–1 Annan Athletic
- 12 Sep Clyde 4–1 Kelty Hearts
- 19 Sep Kelty Hearts 1–3 Edinburgh City
- 03 Oct Spartans 0–2 Kelty Hearts
- 10 Oct Stirling Albion 2–1 Kelty Hearts
Away team recent league results
- 05 Sep Forfar Athletic 0–3 Stranraer
- 12 Sep Spartans 5–1 Forfar Athletic
- 19 Sep Forfar Athletic 1–0 Annan Athletic
- 03 Oct Dumbarton 2–1 Forfar Athletic
- 10 Oct Forfar Athletic 1–2 Elgin City
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8556947. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
League Two · 15:00 BST
Spartans v Stranraer
Research direction: Over 1.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 5 | 5 |
| PPG | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 13–11 | 17–7 |
| Last five overall | WWLLW | WWWDW |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 100% | 90% | 80% | 100% | 2.96 |
Evidence and risk: The supplied over-1.5 and first-half-goal indicators are both 100%, with over 2.5 at 90%. Finishing variance or a slow game can still defeat the goals thesis.
Home team recent league results
- 05 Sep Stirling Albion 0–2 Spartans
- 12 Sep Spartans 5–1 Forfar Athletic
- 19 Sep Dumbarton 3–0 Spartans
- 03 Oct Spartans 0–2 Kelty Hearts
- 10 Oct Edinburgh City 1–3 Spartans
Away team recent league results
- 05 Sep Forfar Athletic 0–3 Stranraer
- 12 Sep Stranraer 3–1 Dumbarton
- 19 Sep Elgin City 1–5 Stranraer
- 03 Oct Stranraer 0–0 Edinburgh City
- 10 Oct Annan Athletic 1–6 Stranraer
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8557090. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
League Two · 15:00 BST
Elgin City v Edinburgh City
Research direction: Over 1.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 5 | 5 |
| PPG | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 16–9 | 10–6 |
| Last five overall | LLLWW | LWWDL |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 90% | 80% | 70% | 90% | 2.43 |
Evidence and risk: Both goals and first-half indicators are elevated. Over 1.5 requires less scoring than the 80% over-2.5 signal; 0–0 and 1–0 remain failure cases.
Home team recent league results
- 05 Sep Dumbarton 2–1 Elgin City
- 12 Sep Annan Athletic 2–0 Elgin City
- 19 Sep Elgin City 1–5 Stranraer
- 03 Oct Elgin City 6–2 Clyde
- 10 Oct Forfar Athletic 1–2 Elgin City
Away team recent league results
- 05 Sep Clyde 3–2 Edinburgh City
- 12 Sep Edinburgh City 7–3 Stirling Albion
- 19 Sep Kelty Hearts 1–3 Edinburgh City
- 03 Oct Stranraer 0–0 Edinburgh City
- 10 Oct Edinburgh City 1–3 Spartans
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8556948. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
Championship · 15:00 BST
Dunfermline Athletic v Livingston
Research direction: Under 2.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 3 | 4 |
| PPG | 2.33 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 4–1 | 6–4 |
| Last five overall | WDWWD | WDWLL |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 71% | 13% | 29% | 59% | 2.85 |
Evidence and risk: The very low 13% over-2.5 indicator favours this research direction, but supplied total xG of 2.85 challenges it. This conflict keeps it off the core accumulator watchlist.
Home team recent league results
- 28 Aug Dunfermline Athletic 1–0 Raith Rovers
- 05 Sep Arbroath 1–1 Dunfermline Athletic
- 12 Sep Dunfermline Athletic 2–0 Queen's Park
- 19 Sep Greenock Morton 0–1 Dunfermline Athletic
- 10 Oct Ayr United 1–1 Dunfermline Athletic
Away team recent league results
- 11 Sep Greenock Morton 1–4 Livingston
- 19 Sep Livingston 2–2 Inverness CT
- 25 Sep Raith Rovers 0–2 Livingston
- 03 Oct Livingston 1–2 Ayr United
- 10 Oct Livingston 1–2 Partick Thistle
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8557546. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
Premiership · 15:00 BST
Kilmarnock v Motherwell
Research direction: First half over 0.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 4 | 4 |
| PPG | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 2–11 | 6–7 |
| Last five overall | LDWDL | WLLLL |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 69% | 57% | 44% | 88% | 2.72 |
Evidence and risk: The 88% first-half-goal indicator is stronger than the 57% over-2.5 signal. A scoreless first half loses even if the match produces several second-half goals.
Home team recent league results
- 02 Sep Kilmarnock 0–1 St. Mirren
- 05 Sep Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock
- 15 Sep Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock
- 19 Sep Kilmarnock 1–1 Hearts
- 10 Oct Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock
Away team recent league results
- 02 Sep Motherwell 3–0 Dundee United
- 05 Sep Rangers 1–0 Motherwell
- 15 Sep Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen
- 19 Sep Dundee 2–1 Motherwell
- 11 Oct Motherwell 0–2 Celtic
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8558457. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
Premiership · 15:00 BST
Aberdeen v St. Mirren
Research direction: Under 3.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 4 | 4 |
| PPG | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 2–3 | 3–6 |
| Last five overall | LDWDL | WLLLL |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 63% | 44% | 25% | 75% | 2.61 |
Evidence and risk: BTTS at 25% and over 2.5 at 44% discourage an aggressive goals ticket. Under 3.5 allows three goals, but an early scoring burst or dismissal can defeat it.
Home team recent league results
- 02 Sep Celtic 3–0 Aberdeen
- 05 Sep Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock
- 15 Sep Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen
- 19 Sep Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen
- 11 Oct Aberdeen 0–1 St. Johnstone
Away team recent league results
- 02 Sep Kilmarnock 0–1 St. Mirren
- 05 Sep St. Mirren 1–2 Celtic
- 09 Sep Rangers 1–0 St. Mirren
- 19 Sep St. Mirren 0–3 Dundee United
- 10 Oct Hearts 5–0 St. Mirren
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8558474. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
Premiership · 15:00 BST
Hibernian v Falkirk
Research direction: Over 1.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 4 | 4 |
| PPG | 0.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 3–7 | 3–4 |
| Last five overall | LLLDL | LDWDL |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 82% | 57% | 75% | 88% | 3.04 |
Evidence and risk: Over 1.5 at 82%, BTTS at 75% and total supplied xG of 3.04 support the goals research route. Weak form and unconfirmed lineups limit conviction.
Home team recent league results
- 03 Sep Hibernian 1–3 Hearts
- 06 Sep St. Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian
- 15 Sep Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock
- 19 Sep Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen
- 10 Oct Dundee United 1–0 Hibernian
Away team recent league results
- 02 Sep Falkirk 1–2 Rangers
- 05 Sep Dundee United 1–1 Falkirk
- 15 Sep Falkirk 2–1 Hearts
- 19 Sep St. Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk
- 10 Oct Falkirk 1–2 Dundee
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8558491. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
League Two · 15:00 BST
Dumbarton v Stirling Albion
Research direction: Over 2.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 5 | 5 |
| PPG | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 8–5 | 6–17 |
| Last five overall | WLWWL | LLDWW |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 80% | 80% | 40% | 80% | 2.29 |
Evidence and risk: The goals indicator is strong, but BTTS is only 40%; a one-sided scoring pattern may be needed. The supplied total xG of 2.29 is less bullish than the 80% over-2.5 indicator.
Home team recent league results
- 05 Sep Dumbarton 2–1 Elgin City
- 12 Sep Stranraer 3–1 Dumbarton
- 19 Sep Dumbarton 3–0 Spartans
- 03 Oct Dumbarton 2–1 Forfar Athletic
- 10 Oct Clyde 2–1 Dumbarton
Away team recent league results
- 05 Sep Stirling Albion 0–2 Spartans
- 12 Sep Edinburgh City 7–3 Stirling Albion
- 19 Sep Stirling Albion 1–1 Clyde
- 03 Oct Annan Athletic 0–1 Stirling Albion
- 10 Oct Stirling Albion 2–1 Kelty Hearts
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8556933. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
League One · 15:00 BST
East Kilbride v Montrose
Research direction: Over 1.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 5 | 5 |
| PPG | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 13–5 | 6–7 |
| Last five overall | LWWWD | WWWLL |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 80% | 80% | 50% | 80% | 2.45 |
Evidence and risk: Over 1.5, over 2.5 and first-half-goal indicators all read 80%. A low-tempo game or poor finishing remains the common failure path.
Home team recent league results
- 05 Sep East Kilbride 0–1 Hamilton Academical
- 12 Sep East Kilbride 3–1 Peterhead
- 19 Sep Alloa Athletic 1–2 East Kilbride
- 03 Oct East Fife 0–3 East Kilbride
- 10 Oct East Kilbride 2–2 Airdrieonians
Away team recent league results
- 05 Sep Peterhead 0–3 Montrose
- 12 Sep Montrose 2–1 Cove Rangers
- 19 Sep East Fife 1–2 Montrose
- 03 Oct Airdrieonians 1–0 Montrose
- 10 Oct Montrose 0–5 Ross County
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8558304. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
Premiership · 15:00 BST
St. Johnstone v Dundee United
Research direction: Over 1.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 4 | 4 |
| PPG | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 7–6 | 7–7 |
| Last five overall | DWLDW | WLDWW |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 76% | 44% | 44% | 75% | 2.91 |
Evidence and risk: The supplied 76% over-1.5 signal and 2.91 total xG give a modest goals direction. Equal supplied PPG offers little directional separation.
Home team recent league results
- 02 Sep Dundee 1–1 St. Johnstone
- 06 Sep St. Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian
- 09 Sep St. Johnstone 0–1 Celtic
- 19 Sep St. Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk
- 11 Oct Aberdeen 0–1 St. Johnstone
Away team recent league results
- 29 Aug Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee United
- 02 Sep Motherwell 3–0 Dundee United
- 05 Sep Dundee United 1–1 Falkirk
- 19 Sep St. Mirren 0–3 Dundee United
- 10 Oct Dundee United 1–0 Hibernian
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8558480. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
League One · 15:00 BST
East Fife v Alloa Athletic
Research direction: Over 1.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 5 | 5 |
| PPG | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 5–7 | 4–7 |
| Last five overall | DDLLD | DLLLL |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 70% | 40% | 40% | 60% | 2.42 |
Evidence and risk: The 70% over-1.5 indicator supports a modest goals watchlist. Over 2.5 and BTTS are only 40%, so extending the line is less supported.
Home team recent league results
- 05 Sep East Fife 2–2 Ross County
- 12 Sep Queen of the South 1–1 East Fife
- 19 Sep East Fife 1–2 Montrose
- 03 Oct East Fife 0–3 East Kilbride
- 10 Oct Cove Rangers 1–1 East Fife
Away team recent league results
- 05 Sep Cove Rangers 1–1 Alloa Athletic
- 12 Sep Airdrieonians 1–0 Alloa Athletic
- 19 Sep Alloa Athletic 1–2 East Kilbride
- 03 Oct Ross County 4–1 Alloa Athletic
- 10 Oct Alloa Athletic 0–3 Hamilton Academical
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8558252. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
Championship · 15:00 BST
Inverness CT v Arbroath
Research direction: Under 2.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 5 | 5 |
| PPG | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 5–3 | 2–11 |
| Last five overall | WDWWL | LLWLL |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 80% | 30% | 20% | 90% | 2.21 |
Evidence and risk: The 30% over-2.5 indicator and 20% BTTS indicator support investigating a lower total. An early goal followed by an open game can invalidate that pattern.
Home team recent league results
- 12 Sep Ayr United 1–3 Inverness CT
- 19 Sep Livingston 2–2 Inverness CT
- 25 Sep Inverness CT 2–0 Greenock Morton
- 10 Oct Inverness CT 2–0 Stenhousemuir
- 13 Oct Queen's Park 2–1 Inverness CT
Away team recent league results
- 12 Sep Raith Rovers 4–0 Arbroath
- 19 Sep Stenhousemuir 1–0 Arbroath
- 25 Sep Arbroath 2–1 Queen's Park
- 03 Oct Partick Thistle 3–0 Arbroath
- 10 Oct Arbroath 1–2 Greenock Morton
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8557486. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
League One · 15:00 BST
Peterhead v Cove Rangers
Research direction: Over 1.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 5 | 5 |
| PPG | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 3–8 | 4–12 |
| Last five overall | LLLLL | DLLLD |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 70% | 60% | 40% | 50% | 2.18 |
Evidence and risk: The 70% over-1.5 indicator is stronger than BTTS at 40%. Weak points returns do not identify the winner; low attacking quality can still keep the total below two.
Home team recent league results
- 05 Sep Peterhead 0–3 Montrose
- 12 Sep East Kilbride 3–1 Peterhead
- 19 Sep Peterhead 1–2 Airdrieonians
- 03 Oct Hamilton Academical 2–1 Peterhead
- 10 Oct Peterhead 0–1 Queen of the South
Away team recent league results
- 05 Sep Cove Rangers 1–1 Alloa Athletic
- 12 Sep Montrose 2–1 Cove Rangers
- 19 Sep Cove Rangers 0–2 Ross County
- 03 Oct Queen of the South 4–3 Cove Rangers
- 10 Oct Cove Rangers 1–1 East Fife
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8558194. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
Championship · 15:00 BST
Stenhousemuir v Raith Rovers
Research direction: Under 2.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 4 | 5 |
| PPG | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 7–1 | 6–3 |
| Last five overall | WWWWL | WDLWW |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 55% | 33% | 33% | 55% | 2.21 |
Evidence and risk: Only 33% is shown for over 2.5 and BTTS. Strong points totals should not be mistaken for a goal trend. An early lead can make the match more open.
Home team recent league results
- 04 Sep Livingston 0–1 Stenhousemuir
- 15 Sep Stenhousemuir 1–0 Partick Thistle
- 19 Sep Stenhousemuir 1–0 Arbroath
- 25 Sep Ayr United 0–1 Stenhousemuir
- 10 Oct Inverness CT 2–0 Stenhousemuir
Away team recent league results
- 12 Sep Raith Rovers 4–0 Arbroath
- 19 Sep Partick Thistle 0–0 Raith Rovers
- 25 Sep Raith Rovers 0–2 Livingston
- 03 Oct Greenock Morton 1–2 Raith Rovers
- 10 Oct Raith Rovers 2–0 Queen's Park
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8557536. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
League One · 17:30 BST
Airdrieonians v Hamilton Academical
Research direction: Under 2.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 5 | 4 |
| PPG | 1.60 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 4–4 | 9–0 |
| Last five overall | LWWWD | WWWWW |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 45% | 35% | 20% | 58% | 2.54 |
Evidence and risk: Over 2.5 is 35% and BTTS 20%, supporting a low-total investigation. Hamilton’s stronger supplied PPG does not independently establish a low-scoring win.
Home team recent league results
- 05 Sep Queen of the South 2–1 Airdrieonians
- 12 Sep Airdrieonians 1–0 Alloa Athletic
- 19 Sep Peterhead 1–2 Airdrieonians
- 03 Oct Airdrieonians 1–0 Montrose
- 10 Oct East Kilbride 2–2 Airdrieonians
Away team recent league results
- 29 Aug Hamilton Academical 1–0 Cove Rangers
- 05 Sep East Kilbride 0–1 Hamilton Academical
- 19 Sep Hamilton Academical 4–1 Queen of the South
- 03 Oct Hamilton Academical 2–1 Peterhead
- 10 Oct Alloa Athletic 0–3 Hamilton Academical
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8558290. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
Championship · 15:00 BST
Greenock Morton v Queen's Park
Research direction: Under 2.5 goals · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 5 | 5 |
| PPG | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 3–10 | 1–8 |
| Last five overall | LLLLW | LLLLW |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 70% | 40% | 40% | 60% | 1.45 |
Evidence and risk: The supplied total xG of 1.45 supports a lower-scoring direction. Both sides have poor supplied venue PPG; poor form alone does not imply few goals.
Home team recent league results
- 11 Sep Greenock Morton 1–4 Livingston
- 19 Sep Greenock Morton 0–1 Dunfermline Athletic
- 25 Sep Inverness CT 2–0 Greenock Morton
- 03 Oct Greenock Morton 1–2 Raith Rovers
- 10 Oct Arbroath 1–2 Greenock Morton
Away team recent league results
- 12 Sep Dunfermline Athletic 2–0 Queen's Park
- 18 Sep Queen's Park 0–2 Ayr United
- 25 Sep Arbroath 2–1 Queen's Park
- 10 Oct Raith Rovers 2–0 Queen's Park
- 13 Oct Queen's Park 2–1 Inverness CT
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8557534. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
League Two · 15:00 BST
Clyde v Annan Athletic
Research direction: Clyde or draw (1X) · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 5 | 4 |
| PPG | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 15–5 | 2–4 |
| Last five overall | WWDLW | LWLLL |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 63% | 63% | 53% | 75% | 2.57 |
Evidence and risk: The home/away points-per-game comparison favours Clyde. Double chance protects the draw, but an Annan away win defeats the selection. No calibrated non-loss probability is available.
Home team recent league results
- 05 Sep Clyde 3–2 Edinburgh City
- 12 Sep Clyde 4–1 Kelty Hearts
- 19 Sep Stirling Albion 1–1 Clyde
- 03 Oct Elgin City 6–2 Clyde
- 10 Oct Clyde 2–1 Dumbarton
Away team recent league results
- 05 Sep Kelty Hearts 2–1 Annan Athletic
- 12 Sep Annan Athletic 2–0 Elgin City
- 19 Sep Forfar Athletic 1–0 Annan Athletic
- 03 Oct Annan Athletic 0–1 Stirling Albion
- 10 Oct Annan Athletic 1–6 Stranraer
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8556949. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
Premiership · 20:00 BST
Dundee v Rangers
Research direction: Rangers or draw (X2) · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 4 | 4 |
| PPG | 1.75 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 6–4 | 5–2 |
| Last five overall | LDLWW | WWWWW |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 69% | 44% | 57% | 75% | 3.50 |
Evidence and risk: The supplied points comparison favours Rangers. The total xG of 3.50 conflicts with over 2.5 at only 44%, so the goals evidence is mixed. A Dundee win defeats X2.
Home team recent league results
- 30 Aug Dundee 1–2 Hibernian
- 02 Sep Dundee 1–1 St. Johnstone
- 06 Sep Hearts 2–1 Dundee
- 19 Sep Dundee 2–1 Motherwell
- 10 Oct Falkirk 1–2 Dundee
Away team recent league results
- 02 Sep Falkirk 1–2 Rangers
- 05 Sep Rangers 1–0 Motherwell
- 09 Sep Rangers 1–0 St. Mirren
- 20 Sep Celtic 0–1 Rangers
- 10 Oct Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8558466. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
League One · 15:00 BST
Queen of the South v Ross County
Research direction: Ross County or draw (X2) · FIS: unscored / unscored · PCS: unscored · Market Fit: PENDING.
| Measured league record | Home team at home | Away team away |
|---|---|---|
| Completed matches | 5 | 5 |
| PPG | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored–conceded | 7–8 | 13–3 |
| Last five overall | DLLWW | DWWWW |
| Supplied indicator | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS Yes | FH over 0.5 | Total pre-match xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FootyStats snapshot | 80% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 2.58 |
Evidence and risk: Supplied venue PPG favours Ross County, while BTTS and over 2.5 are both 50%. A team-direction research lean is better supported than a strong three-goal claim.
Home team recent league results
- 12 Sep Queen of the South 1–1 East Fife
- 15 Sep Ross County 8–0 Queen of the South
- 19 Sep Hamilton Academical 4–1 Queen of the South
- 03 Oct Queen of the South 4–3 Cove Rangers
- 10 Oct Peterhead 0–1 Queen of the South
Away team recent league results
- 05 Sep East Fife 2–2 Ross County
- 15 Sep Ross County 8–0 Queen of the South
- 19 Sep Cove Rangers 0–2 Ross County
- 03 Oct Ross County 4–1 Alloa Athletic
- 10 Oct Montrose 0–5 Ross County
Scenario challenge: expected — the descriptive trend persists; adverse — the first goal or a long scoreless spell changes the game; lineup surprise — a missing creator, finisher or defender changes chance quality. No numerical probability adjustment is assigned without a fixed model and confirmed inputs.
FootyStats match source · Match ID 8558302. Starting lineups are not confirmed in the retrieved data. Injury, tactical and rotation effects are unscored.
Post-match results tracking
Every match is currently incomplete in the provider response. Pre-match zero score fields are placeholders and are not final scores. This static report does not refresh automatically. A later post-match check must append verified results while preserving this original pre-match record.
| Fixture | FT score | HT score | Research selection | Settlement | Actual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen v St. Mirren | Pending | Pending | Under 3.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Clyde v Annan Athletic | Pending | Pending | Clyde or draw (1X) | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Dumbarton v Stirling Albion | Pending | Pending | Over 2.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Dunfermline Athletic v Livingston | Pending | Pending | Under 2.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| East Fife v Alloa Athletic | Pending | Pending | Over 1.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| East Kilbride v Montrose | Pending | Pending | Over 1.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Elgin City v Edinburgh City | Pending | Pending | Over 1.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Greenock Morton v Queen's Park | Pending | Pending | Under 2.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Hibernian v Falkirk | Pending | Pending | Over 1.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Inverness CT v Arbroath | Pending | Pending | Under 2.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Kelty Hearts v Forfar Athletic | Pending | Pending | Over 1.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Kilmarnock v Motherwell | Pending | Pending | First half over 0.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Peterhead v Cove Rangers | Pending | Pending | Over 1.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Queen of the South v Ross County | Pending | Pending | Ross County or draw (X2) | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Spartans v Stranraer | Pending | Pending | Over 1.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| St. Johnstone v Dundee United | Pending | Pending | Over 1.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Stenhousemuir v Raith Rovers | Pending | Pending | Under 2.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Airdrieonians v Hamilton Academical | Pending | Pending | Under 2.5 goals | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
| Dundee v Rangers | Pending | Pending | Rangers or draw (X2) | Pending | N/A — no placed bet confirmed |
Settlement protocol for the later check
Retrieve official final and half-time scores; confirm final, postponed, abandoned or cancelled status. Evaluate each exact market using its stated match period. Full-time goals and double chance normally refer to regulation time plus stoppage time; confirm the chosen bookmaker’s terms before settlement. First-half selections require an official half-time score.
Count winning, losing and void legs for every locked ticket. Apply the actual bookmaker’s postponement and abandonment rules; do not declare a leg void merely because it was delayed. Where the rules void a leg, its accumulator price is normally treated as 1.00, subject to the verified terms. A losing active leg loses the accumulator; if all legs are void, the stake is normally refunded. Recalculate only from recorded entry odds and terms.
For hypothetical stakes, gross return = stake × product of settled winning-leg decimal prices, with applicable void legs at 1.00; profit = gross return − stake. A losing ticket returns £0. Actual monetary returns require confirmation that a bet was placed, its stake, accepted prices and settlement. No placed bets are asserted in this report.
Methodology, evidence and publication status
Strategy 5 v2.0
The supplied Situation(20261017-084347).pdf retains FIS weights: stakes 18%, availability 22%, recovery 15%, tactical fit 15%, club environment 10%, information integrity 10%, market intelligence 10%. FIS is the weighted average of independently assessed 0/25/50/75/100 subscores; ΔFIS = home − away. Required contextual category inputs are not established by aggregate goals statistics, so missing categories have not been filled with invented neutral scores.
PCS weights are baseline agreement 30%, market benchmark 20%, lineup certainty 15%, scenario robustness 20%, context support 10%, price stability 5%. PCS is an uncalibrated structured grade and carries no percentage sign under the current method. Neither a fixed independent baseline specification nor a calibrated probability model was supplied. Three comparable reputable price snapshots and complete contextual/lineup evidence are also missing. FIS, PCS, confidence percentages, probability rankings and accumulator probabilities remain unavailable.
Source coverage
- Official SPFL Match Day schedule: fixtures and UK kickoff times, checked 17 October 2026.
- FootyStats matches-by-date: 17 October 2026, page 1/1, 113 fixtures before Scottish scope filtering.
- FootyStats match-details: all 19 match IDs shown in the report; raw “potential” and pre-match xG values reproduced as provider indicators, with no calibration claim.
- FootyStats season league-matches: Premiership 17148 (198 rows), Championship 17144 (180), League One 17147 (180), League Two 17140 (180), each page 1/1. Venue PPG, goals and last-five records were recomputed from completed results before the snapshot.
Provider match retrieval window: 2026-10-17T08:54:11.135Z to 2026-10-17T08:54:18.076Z (UTC). Provider retrieval timestamps are shown as returned; underlying statistics and odds do not include individual update/quote times. League-result statistics use the earliest match snapshot as the cutoff. No claim is made that every record updated at retrieval time.
Verified fixture information, provider statistics, analyst research directions and feed odds are separate throughout. The statistical ordering is disclosed instead of fabricating the requested confidence ordering. The 3-/4-/5-fold, conservative, BTTS, goals and first-half ideas are paper-test watchlists; no accumulator qualifies for execution under the complete v2.0 checks.
Situational Match Analysis · Betting Guides
18+ · No selection or accumulator is guaranteed. Analysis and paper testing do not confirm that a wager has been placed.