FOOTBALL INTELLIGENCE · UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE · 4 NOVEMBER 2026
Three higher-odds accumulator options combine Liverpool, Manchester City and Dortmund, with Arsenal and Real Madrid added to the longer combinations. These are higher-risk alternatives to the original four-away-win shortlist.
Three accumulator options
| Option | Teams to win | Decimal odds | £5 total return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Treble | Liverpool + Manchester City + Dortmund | 3.50 | £17.50 |
| Fourfold | Liverpool + Manchester City + Dortmund + Arsenal | 4.20 | £21.00 |
| Fivefold | Liverpool + Manchester City + Dortmund + Arsenal + Real Madrid | 4.96 | £24.82 |
All returns include the stake. Calculations use the supplied Sky Bet screenshot captured at 10:08 GMT on 4 November 2026, not live bookmaker quotes. Exact unrounded products are used for returns. Every selection must win over 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
The individual legs
| Selection | Fixture · UK time | Screenshot odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool to win | Fenerbahçe v Liverpool · 17:45 | 2/5 |
| Manchester City to win | RB Leipzig v Manchester City · 20:00 | 1/2 |
| Dortmund to win | Dortmund v Real Betis · 20:00 | 4/6 |
| Arsenal to win | Slavia Prague v Arsenal · 20:00 | 1/5 |
| Real Madrid to win | AEK Athens v Real Madrid · 17:45 | 2/11 |
What the MCP data supports
FootyStats pre-match figures support Liverpool, Manchester City, Arsenal and Real Madrid relative to their opponents on both xG and overall points per game. Dortmund is the exception: the bookmaker price favours the home side, while the retrieved statistical signals favour Betis.
| Selection | Pre-match xG: selection / opponent | Overall PPG: selection / opponent |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 2.23 / 1.62 | 3.00 / 1.78 |
| Manchester City | 2.41 / 1.69 | 2.00 / 1.00 |
| Dortmund | 1.92 / 2.16 | 2.00 / 3.00 |
| Arsenal | 2.26 / 1.79 | 2.33 / 0.33 |
| Real Madrid | 2.03 / 1.43 | 3.00 / 1.40 |
Dortmund is the key concern
Dortmund’s inclusion increases the return but weakens the statistical case. Betis have the higher provider pre-match xG figure and overall points-per-game figure. Dortmund’s home advantage and favourite status explain the selection’s market appeal, but these figures do not justify calling it a strong data-backed win.
Liverpool and Manchester City also face away-match uncertainty: their opponents have pre-match xG figures of 1.62 and 1.69 respectively. Arsenal and Madrid have short prices, which add relatively little return while still adding another result that must go right.
How to compare the options
The treble needs the fewest winning results and is the shortest-priced combination here. The fourfold adds Arsenal; the fivefold then adds Madrid. Both longer options depend on the same three core selections, including Dortmund, so placing all three would concentrate exposure in the same matches.
For stronger alignment with the retrieved indicators, the original Liverpool, Manchester City, Arsenal and Real Madrid fourfold excludes Dortmund. Its screenshot price is approximately 2.98 decimal, returning £14.89 from £5. None of these combinations has been demonstrated to offer positive expected value.
Sources and methodology
FootyStats MCP matches-by-date feed for 4 November 2026, retrieved at 10:22 GMT. All 40 returned fixtures were covered on one page. Selected match IDs: Liverpool 8700181; Manchester City 8700165; Dortmund 8700594; Arsenal 8700185; Real Madrid 8700785. Times are Europe/London, which is GMT on this date.
The provider reports a minimum of three completed matches for each selected fixture’s comparison. That is limited evidence; the exact window behind each field is not established here. Pre-match xG is a provider statistical indicator, not a forecast scoreline. PPG means overall pre-match points per game, not specifically home or away form. No calibrated win probabilities or FIS scores have been calculated.
Confirmed line-ups, injuries and suspensions have not been independently checked. Prices are from the supplied screenshot and may have changed. Recheck team news, fixture status and current odds before acting. One draw or defeat loses the relevant accumulator.
Explore more football analysis
Browse Football Intelligence Reports or explore the Situational Match Analysis strategy.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Higher returns come with additional uncertainty; no accumulator is guaranteed.