Premier Betting Tips · Strategy 5 Situational Match Analysis
EFL Trophy Predictions — 10 November 2026: All 17 Fixtures Ranked
Analysis snapshot: 10 November 2026, 08:22 GMT. Rankings are ordered by the largest published third-party 1X2 estimate, not by verified FIS. All kick-off times are UK time.
Data-quality warning: FootyStats date search returned no matches and the 2026/27 EFL Trophy league endpoint returned HTTP 417. No match has a verified Football Intelligence Score or calibrated FootyStats confidence rating. The third-party forecasts are indicative and may be inaccurate.
Ranked EFL Trophy match predictions
| Rank | Fixture | Lean | Estimate | Comfort margin | FIS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colchester United v Ipswich Town U21 19:45 GMT |
Home | 85% | 75 pp | Not verified |
| 2 | Huddersfield Town v Liverpool U21 19:00 GMT |
Home | 79% | 67 pp | Not verified |
| 3 | Stevenage v Fulham U21 19:00 GMT |
Home | 77% | 63 pp | Not verified |
| 4 | Crawley Town v Brentford U21 19:30 GMT |
Home | 70% | 53 pp | Not verified |
| 5 | Grimsby Town v Nottingham Forest U21 19:00 GMT |
Home | 69% | 52 pp | Not verified |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle v Swindon Town 19:00 GMT |
Home | 69% | 52 pp | Not verified |
| 7 | Stockport County v Tranmere Rovers 19:00 GMT |
Home | 68% | 50 pp | Not verified |
| 8 | Leicester City v Walsall 19:00 GMT |
Home | 65% | 47 pp | Not verified |
| 9 | Oxford United v Cheltenham Town 19:00 GMT |
Home | 65% | 46 pp | Not verified |
| 10 | Bradford City v York City 19:30 GMT |
Home | 58% | 36 pp | Not verified |
| 11 | Bromley v Milton Keynes Dons 19:30 GMT |
Away | 52% | 25 pp | Not verified |
| 12 | Northampton Town v Gillingham 19:00 GMT |
Home | 47% | 18 pp | Not verified |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers v Reading 19:00 GMT |
Away | 46% | 17 pp | Not verified |
| 14 | Crewe Alexandra v Wigan Athletic 19:00 GMT |
Away | 44% | 13 pp | Not verified |
| 15 | Mansfield Town v Chesterfield 19:00 GMT |
Home | 42% | 8 pp | Not verified |
| 16 | Barnet v Leyton Orient 19:00 GMT |
Home | 41% | 6 pp | Not verified |
| 17 | Burton Albion v Notts County 19:00 GMT |
Away | 40% | 5 pp | Not verified |
Match-by-match analysis
1. Colchester United v Ipswich Town U21
Kick-off: 19:45 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (85%). Comfort margin: 75 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 85%, draw 10%, away 5%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
2. Huddersfield Town v Liverpool U21
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (79%). Comfort margin: 67 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 79%, draw 12%, away 8%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
3. Stevenage v Fulham U21
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (77%). Comfort margin: 63 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 77%, draw 14%, away 9%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
4. Crawley Town v Brentford U21
Kick-off: 19:30 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (70%). Comfort margin: 53 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 70%, draw 17%, away 14%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
5. Grimsby Town v Nottingham Forest U21
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (69%). Comfort margin: 52 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 69%, draw 17%, away 15%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
6. Plymouth Argyle v Swindon Town
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (69%). Comfort margin: 52 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 69%, draw 17%, away 14%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
7. Stockport County v Tranmere Rovers
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (68%). Comfort margin: 50 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 68%, draw 18%, away 13%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
8. Leicester City v Walsall
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (65%). Comfort margin: 47 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 65%, draw 18%, away 17%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
9. Oxford United v Cheltenham Town
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (65%). Comfort margin: 46 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 65%, draw 19%, away 16%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
10. Bradford City v York City
Kick-off: 19:30 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (58%). Comfort margin: 36 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 58%, draw 22%, away 20%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
11. Bromley v Milton Keynes Dons
Kick-off: 19:30 GMT. Outcome lean: Away (52%). Comfort margin: 25 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 21%, draw 27%, away 52%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
12. Northampton Town v Gillingham
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (47%). Comfort margin: 18 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 47%, draw 29%, away 24%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
13. Bristol Rovers v Reading
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Away (46%). Comfort margin: 17 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 29%, draw 25%, away 46%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
14. Crewe Alexandra v Wigan Athletic
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Away (44%). Comfort margin: 13 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 31%, draw 25%, away 44%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
15. Mansfield Town v Chesterfield
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (42%). Comfort margin: 8 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 42%, draw 34%, away 34%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
16. Barnet v Leyton Orient
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Home (41%). Comfort margin: 6 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 41%, draw 35%, away 35%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
17. Burton Albion v Notts County
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT. Outcome lean: Away (40%). Comfort margin: 5 percentage points. FIS: Not scored.
Third-party indicative 1X2 estimates: home 35%, draw 25%, away 40%. These are neither bookmaker odds nor calibrated FootyStats probabilities. Squad rotation, U21 selection where relevant and group qualification incentives could change the assessment. Confirm team news and prices before drawing a betting conclusion.
How the rankings and scores work
Ranking: descending largest 1X2 estimate from a third-party forecast. Comfort margin: difference in percentage points between the highest and second-highest 1X2 estimates. This is a descriptive margin, not a validated confidence percentage or win guarantee. Published percentages may not total 100 because of rounding.
Strategy 5 FIS: a separate 0–100 team-level contextual research measure with seven weighted categories: stakes and incentives 18%, availability and lineup leverage 22%, recovery/travel/rotation 15%, tactical/managerial fit 15%, club environment 10%, information integrity 10%, market intelligence 10%. Each category begins at neutral 50 and is adjusted only with supported evidence. FIS is not itself a win probability; without reliable current evidence, scores are withheld.
To make a market-value assessment, obtain a baseline 1X2 probability, timestamped odds from multiple sources, confirmed team news and an adversarial review. A high forecast estimate does not automatically mean a profitable selection.
Sources and editorial transparency
Fixtures: EFL/Sky Sports fixture listings. Indicative estimates: Uanalyse forecasts as consulted in the source report at 08:22 GMT. FIS framework: Strategy 5 Situational Context Betting, enhanced methodology dated 16 August 2026. FootyStats connector access was incomplete at the time of analysis. Readers should independently verify fixtures, lineups, and updated prices.
See more research in our Situational Match Analysis hub. This content is analytical, not a guarantee of outcomes or an instruction to bet.