PREMIER BETTING TIPS • FOOTBALL INTELLIGENCE
English Football Home, Draw & Away Rankings — 31 October 2026
Ranked 1X2 favourites across the Premier League, Championship, League One and League Two, with market probabilities and venue form checks.
Match date: Saturday 31 October 2026
Prepared: 30 October 2026 • Snapshot: 2026-10-30 18:44 GMT
AI-assisted analysis • Full-time 90-minute results
The leading favourites
Middlesbrough and Stockport lead the home-win market. Manchester City and Salford also have supportive venue points-per-game figures. The tables rank market strength; they do not establish profitable betting value.
1 = Home win • X = Draw • 2 = Away win
01 / Strongest home-win selections
| Rank | Division / Fixture | Selection | Odds | Market chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Championship Middlesbrough v Charlton Athletic |
Middlesbrough Home (1) |
1.25 | 75.2% |
| 2 | League One Stockport County v AFC Wimbledon |
Stockport County Home (1) |
1.25 | 74.7% |
| 3 | Championship Norwich City v Watford |
Norwich City Home (1) |
1.54 | 60.9% |
| 4 | Premier League Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace |
Tottenham Hotspur Home (1) |
1.48 | 60.6% |
| 5 | Premier League Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion |
Manchester City Home (1) |
1.63 | 57.7% |
| 6 | Championship West Ham United v West Bromwich Albion |
West Ham United Home (1) |
1.65 | 57.2% |
| 7 | Championship Millwall v Derby County |
Millwall Home (1) |
1.64 | 56.0% |
| 8 | League Two Port Vale v Rochdale |
Port Vale Home (1) |
1.62 | 55.7% |
| 9 | League Two Salford City v Exeter City |
Salford City Home (1) |
1.60 | 55.7% |
| 10 | Championship Wolverhampton Wanderers v Cardiff City |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Home (1) |
1.67 | 55.2% |
02 / A leading option from each division
Premier League — Manchester City: 3.00 home points per game against Brighton & Hove Albion’s 1.50 away. Current supplied win odds: 1.63.
Championship — Middlesbrough: 2.33 home points per game against Charlton Athletic’s 0.83 away. Current supplied win odds: 1.25.
League One — Stockport County: 2.00 home points per game against AFC Wimbledon’s 0.67 away. Current supplied win odds: 1.25.
League Two — Salford City: 2.50 home points per game against Exeter City’s 0.67 away. Current supplied win odds: 1.60.
These are editorial options supported by venue averages. Tottenham and Norwich are prominent market favourites, but their supplied home points per game of 1.00 offers less form reassurance. PPG means points per game; it describes season-to-date venue performance rather than last-five-match form.
03 / Leading away wins
| Rank | Division / Fixture | Selection | Odds | Market chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | League One Peterborough United v Luton Town |
Luton Town Away (2) |
1.86 | 50.3% |
| 2 | Championship Lincoln City v Birmingham City |
Birmingham City Away (2) |
2.15 | 43.8% |
| 3 | League Two Crewe Alexandra v Barnet |
Barnet Away (2) |
2.15 | 42.6% |
Away selections carry greater uncertainty in this snapshot: none approaches the market strength of the leading two home favourites.
04 / Draw assessment
The highest adjusted draw chance is Coventry City v Sunderland — 28.3%, at odds of 3.30. No draw qualifies alongside the leading win favourites.
05 / Method, sources and limitations
Source: FootyStats date-specific fixture feed for 31 October 2026, retrieved on 30 October. The refreshed feed contains 83 subscribed-league matches on one page, including 41 fixtures in these four divisions. The report updates the earlier conversation snapshot.
Market chance formula: (1 ÷ selection odds) ÷ [(1 ÷ home odds) + (1 ÷ draw odds) + (1 ÷ away odds)] × 100.
This proportional adjustment removes the quoted three-way market margin. It is an odds-derived estimate, not an independently measured or calibrated win probability. Tiny ranking differences are not meaningful certainty. No FIS or separate confidence score has been calculated. No value claim can be established from these odds alone.
Team news, injuries, suspensions, starting line-ups and fixture changes have not been independently checked. Early-season home/away samples are limited. Check current prices and team news before acting.