English League One: FIS & Confidence Rankings — 10 October 2026
FootyStats MCP pre-match snapshot: 12 fixtures. FIS-lite is a provisional research score, not a calibrated win probability or a fully verified situational FIS. Team news, injuries and lineups have not been independently verified.
| Rank | Fixture | FIS / 100 | Market confidence / 100 | Research market | Snapshot odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town v Sheffield Wednesday | 62.3 | 60.3 | Over 2.5 | 1.61 |
| 2 | Mansfield Town v Bromley | 61.4 | 48.5 | Over 2.5 | 1.68 |
| 3 | Bradford City v Leyton Orient | 59.3 | 71.5 | Over 1.5 | 1.23 |
| 4 | Stockport County v Barnsley | 56.8 | 57.5 | Over 2.5 | 1.38 |
| 5 | Cambridge United v Blackpool | 54.5 | 57.7 | Over 2.5 | 1.70 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle v AFC Wimbledon | 53.4 | 70.3 | Over 1.5 | 1.21 |
| 7 | Notts County v Oxford United | 50.3 | 64.7 | Over 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 8 | Leicester City v Peterborough United | 47.7 | 72.8 | Over 1.5 | 1.06 |
| 9 | Doncaster Rovers v Burton Albion | 44.4 | N/A | No selection | — |
| 10 | Stevenage v Wigan Athletic | 44.2 | 45.4 | Over 2.5 | 2.15 |
| 11 | Milton Keynes Dons v Reading | 40.2 | N/A | No selection | — |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers v Luton Town | 39.6 | 59.1 | Over 2.5 | 1.61 |
Accumulator illustrations
Conservative treble (1.58 indicative): Bradford v Leyton Orient Over 1.5 (1.23); Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon Over 1.5 (1.21); Leicester v Peterborough Over 1.5 (1.06).
Balanced treble (2.40 indicative): Bradford v Leyton Orient Over 1.5 (1.23); Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon Over 1.5 (1.21); Huddersfield v Sheffield Wednesday Over 2.5 (1.61).
Speculative treble (4.41 indicative): Huddersfield v Sheffield Wednesday Over 2.5 (1.61); Cambridge v Blackpool Over 2.5 (1.70); Wycombe v Luton Over 2.5 (1.61).
Method and coverage
Team FIS-lite: 35% venue-specific points-per-game score, 30% pre-match xG share, 25% no-vig 1X2 market share, and 10% neutral information baseline. The higher team FIS determines fixture rank.
Market confidence: 50% historical market potential, 30% Poisson approximation from pre-match xG, 20% unadjusted inverse market odds, minus 2 points per missing match below a 10-match reference and 8 points for unverified lineups; capped at 85. Not a predicted strike rate.
Data: 12/12 fixtures; league season snapshot indicated 90 completed matches, with match-level samples as low as 6–8. FootyStats provider data, retrieved approximately 09:11 BST on 10 October 2026. No verified live prices, confirmed XIs, injuries, suspensions, travel or weather. The report is not a backtest, and the accumulator prices are snapshots, not executable offers. No positive expected value is established.
18+ · Bet responsibly. See Situational Match Analysis.
