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September 8, 2026

FA Cup Qualifying Football Intelligence — 8 September 2026

PREMIERBETTINGTIPS.COM • STRATEGY 5

FA Cup Qualifying
Football Intelligence

All 26 English FA Cup First Qualifying Round replays today, ranked from highest to lowest Football Intelligence Score.

Tuesday 8 September 2026 • Pre-match snapshot • Kick-offs 19:30/19:45 BST
Important: FIS is a contextual research score, not a win probability or guarantee. Non-league availability and market data are incomplete, so uncertainty is higher than in major-league reports. Check official line-ups and any postponements before kick-off.

Highest-to-lowest rankings

# Fixture Original tie Context leader FIS Opponent Delta Provisional lean Uncertainty
1 Warrington Town v Shildon 2-2 Warrington 64.5 50.5 +14.0 Warrington qualify Medium
2 Worcester City v Knowle 1-1 Worcester 63.0 48.0 +15.0 Worcester qualify Medium-high
3 Portishead Town v Wimborne Town 0-0 Portishead 62.5 54.0 +8.5 Portishead competitive / underdog chance High
4 Mangotsfield United v Gloucester City 1-1 Mangotsfield 62.0 53.0 +9.0 Mangotsfield competitive High
5 Tadcaster Albion v Lancaster City 1-1 Tadcaster 61.5 54.0 +7.5 Tadcaster double chance in 90 mins Medium-high
6 Hashtag United v St Albans City 0-0 Hashtag 61.0 55.5 +5.5 Low-scoring / Hashtag competitive High
7 Kettering Town v Wellingborough Town 2-2 Kettering 60.5 53.5 +7.0 Kettering qualify Medium
8 Barton Town v North Ferriby 0-0 Barton 60.5 55.0 +5.5 Tight; Barton competitive High
9 Leiston v Grays Athletic 0-0 Leiston 60.0 52.5 +7.5 Leiston qualify Medium
10 Hitchin Town v Biggleswade Town 1-1 Hitchin 59.8 53.0 +6.8 Hitchin qualify Medium
11 Brentwood Town v Concord Rangers 0-0 Brentwood 59.5 53.0 +6.5 Brentwood qualify Medium
12 Welling United v Faversham Town 1-1 Welling 59.0 53.0 +6.0 Welling qualify Medium
13 Dartford v Westfield 1-1 Dartford 58.9 52.5 +6.4 Dartford qualify Medium
14 AFC Stoneham v Basingstoke Town 0-0 Basingstoke 58.8 54.0 +4.8 Basingstoke slight qualification lean High
15 Felixstowe & Walton v Wingate & Finchley 0-0 Wingate 58.3 55.0 +3.3 Wingate slight qualification lean High
16 Havant & Waterlooville v Chippenham 1-1 Havant 57.5 54.5 +3.0 Havant slight home lean High
17 Needham Market v Stanway Rovers 0-0 Needham 57.2 52.5 +4.7 Needham slight lean High
18 Guiseley v Stockton Town 2-2 Guiseley 57.0 55.0 +2.0 Guiseley slight home lean High
19 Cray Wanderers v Lewes 2-2 Cray 56.8 55.0 +1.8 Near-even; goals plausible High
20 Newmarket Town v Canvey Island 1-1 Canvey 56.5 54.5 +2.0 Canvey slight lean High
21 Fakenham Town v Ware 3-3 Ware 56.3 54.5 +1.8 Goals / Ware slight lean High
22 Boldmere St Michaels v Bourne Town 1-1 Boldmere 56.0 54.0 +2.0 Boldmere slight home lean High
23 Prestwich Heys v South Liverpool 2-2 Prestwich 55.8 54.5 +1.3 Near-even; home edge only High
24 Buckhurst Hill v Yaxley 1-1 Buckhurst 55.5 53.5 +2.0 Buckhurst slight lean High
25 Pagham v Ascot United 1-1 Ascot 55.3 54.5 +0.8 Near-even; Ascot tier edge High
26 Jersey Bulls v Burgess Hill Town* 0-0 Burgess Hill 55.0 52.0 +3.0 Burgess Hill slight lean High

*Played at Burgess Hill Town, removing Jersey Bulls’ normal home advantage. “Qualify” includes extra time and penalties. The score ranks contextual evidence, not permanent team strength.

Strongest contextual cases

1. Warrington Town – FIS 64.5

Warrington recovered from behind to draw 2-2 away and now return home with a two-tier advantage. Manager Paul Carden says the first meeting clarified Shildon’s attacking strengths.

Risk: Reece Daly is suspended, Ben Elliott requires assessment, and Shildon have scored heavily this season.

2. Worcester City – FIS 63.0

Worcester move from an away 1-1 draw to a home replay and operate two tiers above Knowle. Home setting and structural depth create the day’s clearest baseline-context combination.

Risk: Knowle already showed they can neutralise the tier gap.

3. Portishead Town – FIS 62.5

Tier-nine Portishead held tier-seven Wimborne 0-0 away and now gain home conditions. That is meaningful evidence of tactical resistance and creates a live upset mechanism.

Risk: Wimborne’s two-tier quality advantage remains relevant; public team news is thin.

4. Mangotsfield United – FIS 62.0

Mangotsfield, two tiers below Gloucester, earned a 1-1 draw away and now host the replay. The venue reversal and demonstrated competitiveness lift their contextual score.

Risk: Gloucester’s deeper baseline quality may assert itself over another 90 or 120 minutes.

5. Tadcaster Albion – FIS 61.5

Tadcaster held tier-seven Lancaster 1-1 away after a strong goalkeeping display and now return home. Lancaster’s own report described the original performance as laboured.

Risk: Tadcaster were reliant on goalkeeper Harry Stead and Lancaster created enough pressure to lead.

6. Hashtag United – FIS 61.0

Hashtag held higher-tier St Albans to 0-0 away. The home replay creates a plausible low-scoring upset route, but the score is driven mostly by the first-leg evidence.

Risk: A single contextual factor dominates and St Albans retain the stronger underlying tier baseline.

Method and limitations

The Strategy 5 weights are: Stakes 18%, Availability 22%, Recovery/travel 15%, Tactical fit 15%, Club environment 10%, Information integrity 10%, and Market intelligence 10%. Every team starts at neutral (50). Ratings change only where current evidence supports a positive or adverse mechanism.

For these non-league replays, the main verified inputs are the first-match result, home/away reversal, league tier, official club reporting and any confirmed availability. Thin team news prevents extreme ratings. Most matches should therefore remain paper-test or further-research cases.

Sources

PremierBettingTips.com • Football Intelligence Report • Analytical use only • Gamble responsibly • 18+

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